More Winter Weather on The Way?
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 418 AM CST SAT JAN 25 2014/
DISCUSSION...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WAS LOCATED NEAR THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST.
WINDS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS FEATURE ARE ALREADY FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. EXPECT A SW WIND TODAY AND CONSIDERABLY WARMER
TEMPERATURES. MAX TEMPS SHOULD APPROACH 60 BY THE END OF THE DAY.
SUNDAY WILL TREND EVEN WARM AS ONSHORE WINDS PREVAIL.
CONDS WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY ON MONDAY AS ANOTHER ARCTIC COLD
FRONT CROSSES SE TX. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REACH THEIR PEAK IN
THE MORNING AND THEN SLOWLY FALL DURING THE AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE
OF THE FRONT. THINGS GET INTERESTING FOR TUES/WED. STILL NOT
CONFIDENT IN TIMING...BUT ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL GENERATE
LIGHT RAIN OR RAIN/FRZ RAIN/SLEET MIXTURE ON TUESDAY AFTN INTO
TUES NIGHT. THE CANADIAN MODEL HAS BEEN BULLISH WITH RAIN CHANCE
FOR THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS AND IS NOW SUPPORTED BY THE NAM AND
NOGAPS. THE GFS REMAINS THE DRY OUTLIER WITH SOME SUPPORT FROM THE
ECMWF BUT EVEN THE ECMWF IS TRENDING WETTER. ONCE AGAIN...THERMAL
PROFILES SUPPORT SOME KIND OF WINTER MIX AND AT THIS TIME...FEEL
THE FAVORED PRECIP TYPE WILL BE SLEET. THIS EVENT IS SEVERAL DAYS
AWAY SO WILL KEEP THINGS ALL LIQUID FOR NOW AND WAIT FOR A BETTER
CONSENSUS. A VERY COLD MORNING IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY BEFORE A
STRONG WARM UP TO END THE WORK WEEK. A S/WV WILL CROSS SE TX ON
FRI AND THIS FEATURE WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN. 43
DISCUSSION...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WAS LOCATED NEAR THE MIDDLE TEXAS COAST.
WINDS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS FEATURE ARE ALREADY FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. EXPECT A SW WIND TODAY AND CONSIDERABLY WARMER
TEMPERATURES. MAX TEMPS SHOULD APPROACH 60 BY THE END OF THE DAY.
SUNDAY WILL TREND EVEN WARM AS ONSHORE WINDS PREVAIL.
CONDS WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY ON MONDAY AS ANOTHER ARCTIC COLD
FRONT CROSSES SE TX. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REACH THEIR PEAK IN
THE MORNING AND THEN SLOWLY FALL DURING THE AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE
OF THE FRONT. THINGS GET INTERESTING FOR TUES/WED. STILL NOT
CONFIDENT IN TIMING...BUT ANOTHER WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL GENERATE
LIGHT RAIN OR RAIN/FRZ RAIN/SLEET MIXTURE ON TUESDAY AFTN INTO
TUES NIGHT. THE CANADIAN MODEL HAS BEEN BULLISH WITH RAIN CHANCE
FOR THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS AND IS NOW SUPPORTED BY THE NAM AND
NOGAPS. THE GFS REMAINS THE DRY OUTLIER WITH SOME SUPPORT FROM THE
ECMWF BUT EVEN THE ECMWF IS TRENDING WETTER. ONCE AGAIN...THERMAL
PROFILES SUPPORT SOME KIND OF WINTER MIX AND AT THIS TIME...FEEL
THE FAVORED PRECIP TYPE WILL BE SLEET. THIS EVENT IS SEVERAL DAYS
AWAY SO WILL KEEP THINGS ALL LIQUID FOR NOW AND WAIT FOR A BETTER
CONSENSUS. A VERY COLD MORNING IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY BEFORE A
STRONG WARM UP TO END THE WORK WEEK. A S/WV WILL CROSS SE TX ON
FRI AND THIS FEATURE WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN. 43
The NOAA weather forecasters are thinking that Houston might get another round of ice pellets, freezing rain, sleet, or maybe snow, Monday night, or early Tuesday morning. They only have a 20% chance of rain for Monday night and I think Tuesday morning, so that's not much, but they think if any precipitation does occur it might fall down as sleet. So not that great of a chance for winter precipitation, but just a slim one.
I'll keep y'all more up to date as we get closer to Monday and Tuesday, when the weather forecasters will have a better chance at figuring out if we are going to get any winter precipitation, or not, but right now it looks like there is just a slim chance for any rain, or winter precipitation for Houston Monday night into Tuesday morning.
Peace, I'll let y'all now if I find out anything new. Later!
Got to feel for the weather forecasters trying to figure out what the weather might be. I hope if a storm does move through your way, Joseph, it is not too destructive.
ReplyDeletebetty
It only looks to be light and isolated winter precipitation for right now, but we'll see! : )
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